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Santa Cruz RJ vs Buzios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
30' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz RJ in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Santa Cruz RJ
15%
Draws
21%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RJ have won more games recently than Buzios.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz RJ a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Buzios Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RJ Buzios
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Carioca B2
Santa Cruz RJ vs Buzios
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 Carioca C
Santa Cruz RJ vs Buzios
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RJ 85 / 100
Buzios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RJ Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz RJ scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Buzios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Santa Cruz RJ went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RJ VS Buzios
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RJ

(Home)
05 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Buzios

(Away)
05 Oct
Campos AA
3 : 1
Buzios
01 Oct
Buzios
3 : 2
Paraty
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)