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Santa Cruz RJ vs Cardoso Moreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz RJ in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Santa Cruz RJ
15%
Draws
37%
Cardoso Moreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardoso Moreira haven't matched Santa Cruz RJ's recent run of results.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RJ Cardoso Moreira
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.06 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Carioca B2
Santa Cruz RJ vs Cardoso Moreira
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RJ 41 / 100
Cardoso Moreira 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RJ Cardoso Moreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RJ scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Santa Cruz RJ remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cardoso Moreira conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RJ VS Cardoso Moreira
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RJ

(Home)
05 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
Page 1 of 7

Cardoso Moreira

(Away)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 8 6 2 0 15:6 20
2 Cardoso Moreira 8 5 1 2 15:6 16
3 Paduano EC 8 4 2 2 14:6 14
4 Serra Macaense 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
5 Belford Roxo 8 3 4 1 15:7 13
6 Campos AA 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
7 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 3 1 4 11:8 10
9 7 de Abril 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 8 1 0 7 7:21 3
12 Paraty 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)