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Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Eduardo Aires J.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Santa Cruz RS and Brasil de Farroupilha finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz RS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santa Cruz RS
35%
Draws
32%
Brasil de Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz RS come out ahead of Brasil de Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • Santa Cruz RS are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Farroupilha
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 14 16
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.03 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
1:0
Jun 14, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
May 23, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
1:1
May 28, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:0
Apr 27, 2016 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Aires J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 46 / 100
Brasil de Farroupilha 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brasil de Farroupilha conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Santa Cruz RS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Brasil de Farroupilha
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
10 Oct
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 1
Apafut
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Away)
10 Oct
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)