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Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Richard
77' Event
Wesley Pacheco

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Santa Cruz RS and Gramadense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Cruz RS
40%
Draws
29%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gramadense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 20%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Gramadense
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
2:2
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS
1:2
Jul 16, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Pacheco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 32 / 100
Gramadense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Gramadense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Cruz RS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gramadense has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Gramadense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00