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Santa Cruz RS vs Passo Fundo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Vinicius Spaniol
15' Event
Ranisson
68' Event
Zanelatto M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Santa Cruz RS
30%
Draws
51%
Passo Fundo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Passo Fundo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RS haven't matched Passo Fundo's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Passo Fundo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 22%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Passo Fundo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 15 10
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.1 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Santa Cruz RS
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Passo Fundo
2:2
Jul 30, 2023 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Passo Fundo
2:0
Jul 23, 2023 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Feb 6, 2013 Gaucho
Passo Fundo vs Santa Cruz RS
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanelatto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patrikao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Passo Fundo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Spaniol
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ranisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 16 / 100
Passo Fundo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Passo Fundo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passo Fundo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz RS scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Santa Cruz RS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Passo Fundo has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Passo Fundo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Passo Fundo

(Away)
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aimore 14 9 4 1 16:5 31
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 5 1 16:7 29
3 Passo Fundo 14 7 6 1 20:12 27
4 Novo Hamburgo 14 7 3 4 17:8 24
5 Gramadense 14 6 6 2 13:9 24
6 Veranopolis 14 6 5 3 17:9 23
7 GE Bage 14 5 6 3 9:5 21
8 Lajeadense 14 5 6 3 13:14 21
9 Santa Cruz RS 14 4 6 4 12:11 18
10 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
11 GE Gloria 14 2 7 5 8:13 13
12 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 3 2 9 12:21 11
13 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 1 7 6 6:16 10
14 SC Gaucho 14 2 3 9 15:20 9
15 Real SC 14 0 3 11 4:23 3
16 Futvida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 (Main)