Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz SE vs Socorrense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Socorrense in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Socorrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Cruz SE
6%
Draws
90%
Socorrense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Socorrense lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz SE.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Socorrense taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Socorrense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santa Cruz SE Clean Sheet 10%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz SE Socorrense
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.38 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Sergipano 3
Socorrense vs Santa Cruz SE
5:1
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Santa Cruz SE vs Socorrense
0:1
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorrense vs Santa Cruz SE
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz SE 10 / 100
Socorrense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz SE Socorrense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socorrense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Santa Cruz SE's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Santa Cruz SE went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz SE VS Socorrense
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301