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Santa Cruz SE vs Socorro

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Sergipano 3
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz SE play Socorro in the Sergipano 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Cruz SE averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Socorro averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Cruz SE won 0, Socorro won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Santa Cruz SE and 2.06 for Socorro. This points to a Socorro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Cruz SE
6%
Draws
90%
Socorro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Socorro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Socorro has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Cruz SE.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Socorro.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sergipano 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Santa Cruz SE Clean Sheet 10%
Socorro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz SE Socorro
Matches Played 16 18
Wins 5 6
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 Sergipano 3
Santa Cruz SE vs Socorro
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz SE 10 / 100
Socorro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz SE Socorro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz SE scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

Socorro let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Cruz SE went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Socorro lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz SE VS Socorro
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Socorro651019:416
2Propria642012:314
3Socorrense641122:713
4Santa Cruz SE62048:116
5Forca Jovem Aquidaba62045:86
6Coritiba SE61052:203
7Aracaju FC61056:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estanciano EC642012:414
2Sete de Junho63308:112
3CS Maruinense63127:510
4Botafogo ASF623111:99
5AD Boquinhense62136:87
6Amadense61054:113
7Riachao60242:122