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Santa Cruz U20 vs Petrolina U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Petrolina U20 have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Santa Cruz U20 have conceded 0.82 and scored 2.09. Past meetings favor Santa Cruz U20 slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.50, favoring Santa Cruz U20. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Santa Cruz U20
15%
Draws
18%
Petrolina U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz U20 have won more games recently than Petrolina U20.
  • Santa Cruz U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Santa Cruz U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Santa Cruz U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Petrolina U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz U20 Petrolina U20
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.09 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Petrolina U20
1:0
Jun 12, 2023 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Petrolina U20
1:0
Oct 2, 2021 Pernambucano U20
Petrolina U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz U20 85 / 100
Petrolina U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz U20 Petrolina U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz U20 scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Petrolina U20 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Petrolina U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz U20 VS Petrolina U20
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz U20

(Home)
08 Oct
CSA U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
26 Sept
Santa Cruz U20
7 : 0
Ibis Sport Club U20
23 Sept
Atletico PE U20
0 : 8
Santa Cruz U20
19 Sept
Atletico Torres U20
0 : 5
Santa Cruz U20
16 Sept
Santa Cruz U20
1 : 0
Central SC U20
Page 1 of 7

Petrolina U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Nautico U20
1 : 0
Petrolina U20
19 Sept
Petrolina U20
0 : 2
Academica Vitoria U20
12 Sept
Petrolina U20
0 : 0
Serrano PE U20
05 Sept
Jaguar U20
1 : 2
Petrolina U20
29 Aug
Petrolina U20
0 : 3
Sport Recife U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santa Cruz U20 -
Petrolina U20 -
Retro U20 -
America PE U20 -
Sport Recife U20 -
CA Porto U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Ipojuca U20 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -