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Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Academica Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Estádio José do Rego Maciel
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Hitalo Rogerio
44'
Sub
William Alves In: Matheus Vinicius
Out: William Alves
44'
Sub
Diego In: Leite L.
Out: Diego

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz in this Pernambucano matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
Academica Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz haven't matched Academica Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Academica Vitoria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Academica Vitoria
1:0
Feb 25, 2021 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Academica Vitoria
2:0
Feb 2, 2020 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Academica Vitoria
1:0
Feb 26, 2019 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Santa Cruz
3:0
Jan 18, 2018 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Academica Vitoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Vinicius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Academica Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 95 / 100
Academica Vitoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Academica Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Academica Vitoria let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nautico760119:418
2Sport Recife742115:814
3Retro73228:511
4Santa Cruz731312:810
5Decisao73048:179
6Maguary723210:109
7Academica Vitoria71157:144
8Jaguar70345:183