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Santa Cruz vs AD Rosario

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gomez O.
51' Event
Ledezma J.
90' Event
Garro J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Santa Cruz and AD Rosario finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Rosario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
65%
AD Rosario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AD Rosario's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz AD Rosario
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Rosario
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledezma J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

AD Rosario Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 15 / 100
AD Rosario 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz AD Rosario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Rosario Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Rosario has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Santa Cruz scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS AD Rosario
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
16 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Grecia
Page 1 of 6

AD Rosario

(Away)
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
AD Rosario
3 : 2
Grecia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
2 Quepos FC 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Grecia 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
4 AD Sarchi 7 3 2 2 8:10 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
7 Cofutpa 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
2 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 11:9 15
3 Aserri 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
4 Carmelita 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
5 Cariari Pococi 7 3 3 1 9:7 12
6 FC Moravia 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
7 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Guadalupe 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)