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Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Danilo
54' Event
Pizarro J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Santa Cruz and ADR Jicaral finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Cruz
44%
Draws
20%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • ADR Jicaral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Jan 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Santa Cruz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pizarro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 35 / 100
ADR Jicaral 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz ADR Jicaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ADR Jicaral's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS ADR Jicaral
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ADR Jicaral1493225:1230
2Inter San Carlos1484225:1428
3Quepos Cambute1491430:2128
4Santa Cruz1445519:1717
5Grecia1445516:1817
6AD Sarchi1445519:2317
7Cofutpa1424814:2710
8Dep. Upala1405915:315
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Escorpiones14102233:1032
2CS Uruguay1472525:2023
3Pitbulls1464420:1622
4Consultants Desamparados1454519:1919
5Cariari Pococi1436519:2315
6Aserri1428415:2814
7Santa Ana1333719:2812
8Carmelita1325610:1611
9Limon Black Star00000:00