Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz play ADR Jicaral in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Cruz averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. ADR Jicaral averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Cruz won 0, ADR Jicaral won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Santa Cruz and 1.63 for ADR Jicaral. This points to a ADR Jicaral double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Santa Cruz
35%
Draws
42%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz picked up more points recently compared to ADR Jicaral.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.08 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Jan 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Santa Cruz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pizarro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 24 / 100
ADR Jicaral 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz ADR Jicaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ADR Jicaral or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Cruz attacking → ← attacking ADR Jicaral

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

ADR Jicaral let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ADR Jicaral lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 58
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ADR Jicaral1493225:1230
2Inter San Carlos1484225:1428
3Quepos Cambute1491430:2128
4Santa Cruz1445519:1717
5Grecia1445516:1817
6AD Sarchi1445519:2317
7Cofutpa1424814:2710
8Dep. Upala1405915:315
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Escorpiones14102233:1032
2CS Uruguay1472525:2023
3Pitbulls1464420:1622
4Consultants Desamparados1454519:1919
5Cariari Pococi1436519:2315
6Aserri1428415:2814
7Santa Ana1333719:2812
8Carmelita1325610:1611
9Limon Black Star00000:00