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Santa Cruz vs Aguilas FC B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Martinez S.
72' Event
Goudani A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Cruz
35%
Draws
25%
Aguilas FC B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC B have won more games recently than Santa Cruz.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santa Cruz have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Aguilas FC B
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Aguilas FC B
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Aguilas FC B
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Santa Cruz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Goudani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 41 / 100
Aguilas FC B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Aguilas FC B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC B let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Aguilas FC B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Aguilas FC B

(Away)
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 CA Pulpileno 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
3 Alcantarilla 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
4 San Javier 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Molinense 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 UCAM Murcia B 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
8 Santa Cruz 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 UD Los Garres 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Bala Azul 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Minerva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
13 FC Cartagena SAD B 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
15 Cotillas CD 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Mazarron FC 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 CD Algar 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)