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Santa Cruz vs Aguilas FC B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

16' Event
Cobo M.
36' Event
Ballesta M. A.
47' Event
Canovas G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Santa Cruz and Aguilas FC B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Santa Cruz
33%
Draws
40%
Aguilas FC B
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguilas FC B come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aguilas FC B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 16%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Aguilas FC B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Aguilas FC B
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Santa Cruz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballesta M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canovas G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 28 / 100
Aguilas FC B 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Aguilas FC B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Aguilas FC B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
02 May
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Real Murcia B
26 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 0
Santa Cruz
18 Apr
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Minerva
12 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Aguilas FC B

(Away)
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
Mazarron CF
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
Deportivo Maritimo
1 : 2
Aguilas FC B
11 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)