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Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Santa Cruz Logo

Santa Cruz

1 - 0
FT
Botafogo PB Logo

Botafogo PB

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Eron
(Penalty)
55'
Henrique Dourado
55'
Sub
Henrique Dourado In: Kayon
Out: Henrique Dourado
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Santa Cruz
35%
Draws
10%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz have won more games recently than Botafogo PB.
  • Santa Cruz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Botafogo PB
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:0
Aug 8, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz
2:2
Jan 8, 2023 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 95 / 100
Botafogo PB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Botafogo PB let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Botafogo PB
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo PB

(Away)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)