Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Match Events

75'

Garcia M.

75'

Garcia M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz host Deportivo Maritimo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Santa Cruz at 0.88 goals for, 1.38 against; Deportivo Maritimo at 0.75 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Santa Cruz have won 1 to Deportivo Maritimo's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.06) point toward Santa Cruz. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Santa Cruz

28%

Draws

50%

Deportivo Maritimo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Santa Cruz has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportivo Maritimo.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Deportivo Maritimo.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 13 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 22%

Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santa Cruz	Deportivo Maritimo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Santa Cruz vs Deportivo Maritimo

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Deportivo Maritimo vs Santa Cruz

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 24 / 100

Deportivo Maritimo 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santa Cruz Deportivo Maritimo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Deportivo Maritimo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Maritimo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Deportivo Maritimo

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Cieza	34	21	10	3	65:21	73
2	Real Murcia B	34	17	8	9	59:44	59
3	Molinense	34	17	8	9	46:34	59
4	Club Olimpico de Totana	34	15	13	6	44:27	58
5	Mazarron CF	34	14	14	6	50:33	56
6	UCAM Murcia B	34	13	16	5	55:37	55
7	Aguilas FC B	34	14	10	10	47:42	52
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	11	10	30:29	50
9	Santa Cruz	34	14	6	14	35:37	48
10	Minerva	34	11	11	12	28:39	44
11	Bala Azul	34	8	16	10	39:36	40
12	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	9	11	14	40:39	38
13	Deportivo Maritimo	34	9	9	16	38:46	36
14	E.G. El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27:48	32
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38:64	32
16	Caravaca	34	6	13	15	33:44	31
17	Muleno CF	34	6	13	15	33:58	31
18	Yeclano B	34	6	9	19	25:54	27