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Santa Cruz vs Escorpiones

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Montiel R.
37' Event
Ramirez J.
61'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
21%
Escorpiones
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Escorpiones come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Escorpiones arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Escorpiones Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Escorpiones
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Escorpiones vs Santa Cruz
4:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Escorpiones
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Escorpiones Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 34 / 100
Escorpiones 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Escorpiones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Escorpiones Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Escorpiones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Escorpiones has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Escorpiones
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
16 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Grecia
09 Aug
Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Cofutpa
02 Aug
Quepos FC
4 : 0
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Escorpiones

(Away)
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
22 Aug
Escorpiones
1 : 4
Cartagines
18 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Escorpiones
09 Aug
Escorpiones
0 : 0
Zeledon
02 Aug
Alajuelense
2 : 1
Escorpiones
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
CS Uruguay 2
Quepos FC 5
FC Moravia 1
ADR Jicaral 3
Pitbulls 1
Inter San Carlos 4
Santa Cruz 2
Escorpiones 5
Semi-finals
Quepos FC 2
ADR Jicaral 3
Inter San Carlos 1
Escorpiones 0
Final
ADR Jicaral 0
Inter San Carlos 1