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Santa Cruz vs Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio José do Rego Maciel
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Thiago Coelho
12'
Sub
Everaldo In: Goncalves G.
Out: Everaldo
25' Event
Denilson Chaves

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz
39%
Draws
31%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz haven't matched Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Ferroviaria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Ferroviaria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Eurico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Denilson Chaves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 41 / 100
Ferroviaria 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Ferroviaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviaria conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Ferroviaria
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189