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Santa Cruz vs Yeclano B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Tercera RFEF - Group 13 encounter between Santa Cruz and Yeclano B promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Santa Cruz averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Yeclano B shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Santa Cruz, 1 wins for Yeclano B, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.04.26 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Santa Cruz and 1.25 for Yeclano B, suggesting the primary value lies in the Santa Cruz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santa Cruz
23%
Draws
26%
Yeclano B
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz picked up more points recently compared to Yeclano B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 19%
Yeclano B Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Yeclano B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

26.04.26 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Yeclano B vs Santa Cruz
3:0
17.12.25 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Yeclano B
3:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Santa Cruz

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Yeclano B

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballesta M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Yeclano B Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 50 / 100
Yeclano B 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Yeclano B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Cruz or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Santa Cruz is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Santa Cruz 56%
Yeclano B 21%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Yeclano B will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Santa Cruz's attacks.

Santa Cruz 48%
Yeclano B 27%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Santa Cruz to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Santa Cruz 51%
Yeclano B 26%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Santa Cruz vary their attacking width.

Santa Cruz 54%
Yeclano B 25%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Yeclano B, allowing Santa Cruz's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Santa Cruz 46%
Yeclano B 29%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Santa Cruz, while Yeclano B takes risks to salvage a result.

Santa Cruz 59%
Yeclano B 30%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Cruz attacking → ← attacking Yeclano B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Yeclano B have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Yeclano B suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 21
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427