Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Ypiranga FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio José do Rego Maciel, Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Estevao
30'
Renan Gorne
45'
Alex Ruan

AI Match Summary

Ypiranga FC in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ypiranga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santa Cruz
20%
Draws
38%
Ypiranga FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Ypiranga FC.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Ypiranga FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Ypiranga FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Estevao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 42 / 100
Ypiranga FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Ypiranga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Santa Cruz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Ypiranga FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Figueirense
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
Page 1 of 6

Ypiranga FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)