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Santa Fe PE vs America PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe PE play America PE in the Pernambucano 2 2022. America PE are favorites here. Recently, Santa Fe PE averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. America PE averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Fe PE won 0, America PE won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 16, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Santa Fe PE and 2.38 for America PE. This points to a America PE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Santa Fe PE
23%
Draws
64%
America PE
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Fe PE picked up more points recently compared to America PE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Santa Fe PE Clean Sheet 10%
America PE Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe PE America PE
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 0 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 0.4 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Santa Fe PE vs America PE
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe PE 14 / 100
America PE 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe PE America PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America PE Win (2)
Secondary Pick America PE & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Fe PE attacking → ← attacking America PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe PE scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

America PE let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santa Fe PE went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

America PE lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 63
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180