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Santa Fe PE vs Atletico Torres

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe PE play Atletico Torres in the Pernambucano 2 2022. Atletico Torres are favorites here. Recently, Santa Fe PE averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Atletico Torres averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Fe PE won 0, Atletico Torres won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 24, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Santa Fe PE and 1.63 for Atletico Torres. This points to a Atletico Torres double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Santa Fe PE
17%
Draws
63%
Atletico Torres
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atletico Torres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Fe PE picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Torres.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Santa Fe PE Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Torres Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe PE Atletico Torres
Matches Played 5 19
Wins 0 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0.4 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Santa Fe PE vs Atletico Torres
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe PE 21 / 100
Atletico Torres 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe PE Atletico Torres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Torres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Atletico Torres & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Fe PE attacking → ← attacking Atletico Torres

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe PE scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Atletico Torres let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santa Fe PE went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Torres lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 26
0.33 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180