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Santa Fe SP vs Riopretano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Felipe T.
33' Event
Romario
45'
Rachoni E.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Santa Fe SP and Riopretano finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Fe SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Fe SP
20%
Draws
50%
Riopretano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riopretano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Fe SP come out ahead of Riopretano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Riopretano a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Santa Fe SP Clean Sheet 18%
Riopretano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe SP Riopretano
Matches Played 10 10
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Paulista B
Riopretano vs Santa Fe SP
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Paulista B
Santa Fe SP vs Riopretano
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Riopretano Compare

Top Goalscorer Romario
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe SP 23 / 100
Riopretano 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe SP Riopretano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riopretano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Riopretano conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Santa Fe SP scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Santa Fe SP has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe SP VS Riopretano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe SP

(Home)
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
12 Jun
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3
America SP
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
29 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

Riopretano

(Away)
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
07 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 1
Riopretano
30 May
America SP
2 : 0
Riopretano
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)