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Santa Fe vs Adra

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Santa Fe Logo

Santa Fe

1 - 2
FT
Adra Logo

Adra

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 game between Santa Fe and Adra finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Santa Fe
20%
Draws
0%
Adra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santa Fe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Adra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Adra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 29
Goals Scored 1.1 0.41
Goals Conceded 1.43 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Adra
1:2
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Santa Fe
2:3
Apr 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Santa Fe
2:0
Nov 23, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Adra
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 85 / 100
Adra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Adra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Adra conceded in 97% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Adra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Santa Fe scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adra
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
09 May
Santa Fe
2 : 4
Velez
02 May
Almeria B
3 : 3
Santa Fe
18 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 2
Santa Fe
11 Apr
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Loja
04 Apr
Ciudad de Vicar
2 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Adra

(Away)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)