Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio El Campín

Corinthians

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe play Corinthians in the Copa Libertadores. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Fe averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Corinthians averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Fe won 0, Corinthians won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Santa Fe and 1.19 for Corinthians. This points to a Corinthians double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Santa Fe

35%

Draws

34%

Corinthians

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Corinthians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Santa Fe picked up more points recently compared to Corinthians.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%

Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santa Fe	Corinthians
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	11	13
Draws	12	8
Losses	7	7
Goals Scored	1.47	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.07	0.82
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Santa Fe vs Corinthians

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Corinthians vs Santa Fe

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Apr 7, 2016 Copa Libertadores

Santa Fe vs Corinthians

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Mar 3, 2016 Copa Libertadores

Corinthians vs Santa Fe

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodallega H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Henrique

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 32 / 100

Corinthians 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santa Fe Corinthians

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Corinthians or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Fe attacking → ← attacking Corinthians

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Corinthians let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Santa Fe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 47

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0