Sport Picks

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Santa Fe vs Dep. Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe host Dep. Cali in the Primera A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dep. Cali have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Santa Fe have conceded 0.92 and scored 1.56. Head-to-head, Santa Fe have won 4 to Dep. Cali's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.13, favoring Santa Fe. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santa Fe
35%
Draws
32%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Fe lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Cali.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Santa Fe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Dep. Cali
Matches Played 36 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 14 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.56 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Santa Fe
1:1
Nov 10, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Dep. Cali
1:0
May 17, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Santa Fe
0:2
Aug 21, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Santa Fe
1:3
Feb 14, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Dep. Cali
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 41 / 100
Dep. Cali 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Dep. Cali let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Fe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Dep. Cali
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
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Dep. Cali

(Away)
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Cali
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 10 6 3 1 21:6 21
2 Millonarios 11 5 4 2 15:8 19
3 Atl. Nacional 8 6 0 2 17:8 18
4 Bucaramanga 9 4 5 0 14:8 17
5 Deportes Tolima 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
6 Santa Fe 9 4 4 1 16:10 16
7 Ind. Medellin 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
8 Dep. Cali 9 4 3 2 14:8 15
9 Llaneros 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
10 Once Caldas 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
11 Aguilas Doradas 8 2 5 1 12:12 11
12 Inter Bogotá 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
13 Cucuta 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
14 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 10 1 5 4 11:16 8
15 Dep. Pasto 10 2 2 6 9:15 8
16 Alianza 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
17 Chico 9 2 2 5 7:18 8
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
19 Dep. Pereira 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
20 Junior 8 1 3 4 12:14 6
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)