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Santa Fe vs Estrella

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2024/2025
Sun, Dec 15, 2024
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe host Estrella in the Division di Honor 2024/2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Santa Fe have averaged 1.95 scored and 2.48 conceded recently, against Estrella's 2.03 scored and 3.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Santa Fe have won 0 to Estrella's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 15, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.60 vs 1.61, favoring Santa Fe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Santa Fe
20%
Draws
23%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Fe have won more games recently than Estrella.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Santa Fe taking it.
  • Regular Division di Honor 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Estrella have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 14%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Estrella
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.95 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.48 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2024 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Estrella
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Estrella
2:4
Oct 2, 2022 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Estrella
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 48 / 100
Estrella 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Santa Fe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Santa Fe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estrella
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 4
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
15 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Bubali
05 May
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Jong Aruba
29 Apr
La Fama
8 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Apr
Santa Fe
5 : 0
Real Koyari
15 Apr
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 5

Estrella

(Away)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
02 Jun
Estrella
0 : 4
Jong Aruba
24 May
Estrella
1 : 5
River Plate
21 May
Estrella
1 : 2
Caiquetio
13 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Aruba 9 7 2 0 32:10 23
2 Britannia 9 7 2 0 27:5 23
3 SV Dakota 9 6 2 1 32:9 20
4 La Fama 9 5 1 3 23:10 16
5 Deportivo Nacional 9 4 1 4 21:11 13
6 Estrella 9 4 1 4 20:16 13
7 River Plate 9 4 1 4 21:18 13
8 United FC 9 1 1 7 12:31 4
9 Jong Aruba 9 1 1 7 8:38 4
10 Unistars 9 0 0 9 4:52 0
Promotion - Division di Honor 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Division di Honor 2024/2025 (Relegation)