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Santa Fe vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fagundez F.
23' Event
Copete A.
Own Goal
34'
Cajares J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Santa Fe
35%
Draws
19%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Santa Fe
1:1
Dec 3, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Santa Fe
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Santa Fe
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 41 / 100
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Santa Fe found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
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Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Away)
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2
Once Caldas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
4 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
5 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
6 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
11 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
12 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
13 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Junior 10 2 3 5 15:17 9
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 11 1 6 4 13:18 9
18 Dep. Pereira 10 1 5 4 7:13 8
19 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)