Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Fe vs Llaneros

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Mafla C.
5'
Marimon L.
33'
Mafla C.

AI Match Summary

Llaneros in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llaneros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Fe
40%
Draws
29%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Llaneros haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Llaneros
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Llaneros
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Llaneros
1:3
May 1, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Santa Fe
0:1
Aug 6, 2014 Copa Colombia
Llaneros vs Santa Fe
3:1
Jul 3, 2014 Copa Colombia
Santa Fe vs Llaneros
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 32 / 100
Llaneros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Fe scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Llaneros let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Llaneros
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
03 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Once Caldas
31 Jul
Caracas
0 : 3
Santa Fe
26 Jul
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1
Santa Fe
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Caracas
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1
Santa Fe
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Llaneros

(Away)
04 Aug
Llaneros
3 : 1
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
31 Jul
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Llaneros
24 Jul
Llaneros
1 : 0
Dep. Pereira
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)