Sport Picks

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Santa Fe vs Once Caldas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Mon, Aug 3, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe host Once Caldas in the Primera A. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Once Caldas have shipped 0.43 goals a game lately, while Santa Fe have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Santa Fe have won 3 to Once Caldas's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.03 vs 0.80, favoring Santa Fe. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Fe
30%
Draws
34%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Fe lately — more wins on the board than Once Caldas.
  • Win probability leans Santa Fe's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Once Caldas
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 14 14
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.63 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe
1:1
Sep 2, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
1:2
Jun 16, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
1:0
Jun 5, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 36 / 100
Once Caldas 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Once Caldas conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Once Caldas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
26 Jul
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1
Santa Fe
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Caracas
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1
Santa Fe
24 May
Junior
1 : 0
Santa Fe
20 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Platense
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Once Caldas

(Away)
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
14 May
Junior
2 : 2
Once Caldas
10 May
Once Caldas
0 : 1
Junior
01 May
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Atl. Nacional
26 Apr
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali11002:03
2Ind. Medellin11003:23
3Deportes Tolima11002:13
4Bucaramanga11001:03
5Llaneros11001:03
6Chico00000:00
7America De Cali00000:00
8Santa Fe00000:00
9Inter Bogotá00000:00
10Atl. Nacional00000:00
11Cucuta00000:00
12Once Caldas00000:00
13Aguilas Doradas00000:00
14Alianza00000:00
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.00000:00
16Dep. Pasto10012:30
17Junior10011:20
18Millonarios10010:10
19Dep. Pereira10010:10
20Jaguares de Cordoba10010:20
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)