Sport Picks
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
Match Events
4'
4'
Obrian J.
Assist: Bustos N.
41'
41'
Obrian J.
46'
46'
Sub
Torres E. In: Gomez P.
Out: Torres E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Santa Fe lately — more wins on the board than Once Caldas.
- Win probability leans Santa Fe's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Fe | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
2:2
Jan 26, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe
1:1
Sep 2, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
1:2
Jun 16, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
1:0
Jun 5, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Fe Compare
Top Goalscorer Obrian J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Once Caldas Compare
Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Colorado A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Fe 50 / 100
Once Caldas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Fe Once Caldas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Fe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Once Caldas conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santa Fe VS Once Caldas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Fe
(Home) 06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0 Vasco
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
03 Sept
Santa Fe
3 : 2 Millonarios
Page 1 of 4
Once Caldas
(Away) 10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Llaneros
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1 Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1 Once Caldas
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0 Once Caldas
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
24 Aug
Junior
1 : 1 Once Caldas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
