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Santa Fe vs Platense

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe play Platense in the Copa Libertadores. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Fe averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Platense averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Fe won 1, Platense won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Santa Fe and 1.19 for Platense. This points to a Santa Fe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Santa Fe
35%
Draws
28%
Platense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Fe picked up more points recently compared to Platense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Platense Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Platense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.47 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Santa Fe vs Platense
2:1
Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Platense vs Santa Fe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarpeta Silgado I. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodallega H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lotti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 37 / 100
Platense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Platense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Fe or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Fe attacking → ← attacking Platense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Platense let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Fe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Platense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 37
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

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2Platense63128:710
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