Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Rodriguez E.
28'
28'
Spinelli C.
57'
57'
Sub
Rodriguez E. In: Lovera M.
Out: Rodriguez E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Fe have won more games recently than Vasco.
- Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Santa Fe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Vasco Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Fe | Vasco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Santa Fe
2:0
Sep 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs Vasco
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Fe 51 / 100
Vasco 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Fe Vasco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Fe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Vasco has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Santa Fe VS Vasco
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Fe
(Home) 25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0 Santa Fe
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0 Vasco
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
03 Sept
Santa Fe
3 : 2 Millonarios
Page 1 of 4
Vasco
(Away) 19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0 Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0 Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0 Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0 Vasco
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0 Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0 Vasco
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2 Vasco
23 Aug
Palmeiras
4 : 1 Vasco
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
