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Santa Lucia vs Gudja Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Shola H. S.
47' Event
Borg A.
55' Event
Petkovski F.

AI Match Summary

Santa Lucia in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Lucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santa Lucia
30%
Draws
28%
Gudja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gudja have won more games recently than Santa Lucia.
  • Santa Lucia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 20%
Gudja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Lucia Gudja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Challenge League
Santa Lucia vs Gudja
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Challenge League
Santa Lucia vs Gudja
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Challenge League
Santa Lucia vs Gudja
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Premier League
Gudja vs Santa Lucia
0:4
Oct 21, 2023 Premier League
Santa Lucia vs Gudja
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Lucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Borg A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkovski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gudja Compare

Top Goalscorer Shola H. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Lucia 85 / 100
Gudja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Lucia Gudja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Lucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Santa Lucia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Santa Lucia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Gudja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santa Lucia VS Gudja
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Lucia

(Home)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
19 Apr
Mtarfa
1 : 5
Santa Lucia
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
06 Apr
Mgarr
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
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Gudja

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2
Gudja
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
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