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Santa Maria FC vs Ninense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 game between Santa Maria FC and Ninense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Santa Maria FC
22%
Draws
60%
Ninense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ninense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Maria FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ninense a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ninense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria FC Ninense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Ninense
1:1
Mar 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Santa Maria FC
1:0
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Santa Maria FC
0:3
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Ninense
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria FC 20 / 100
Ninense 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria FC Ninense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ninense conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Santa Maria FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santa Maria FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria FC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1484220:939
2AD Fafe1464420:1439
3SC Vianense1466219:1337
4SC Mirandela1447318:1334
5Santa Maria FC1455415:1531
6Pedras Salgadas1436512:1523
7Ninense1435612:1918
8Valenciano14131011:2917