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Santa Maria FC vs Santa Eulalia

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Carlitos
44'
Mouanda A.
76' Event
Goba Zakpa

AI Match Summary

The Taça de Portugal 2014/2015 game between Santa Maria FC and Santa Eulalia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Maria FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Maria FC
30%
Draws
34%
Santa Eulalia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Maria FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Maria FC come out ahead of Santa Eulalia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santa Maria FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Taça de Portugal 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Eulalia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria FC Santa Eulalia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2014 Taça de Portugal
Santa Maria FC vs Santa Eulalia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Maria FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Goba Zakpa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Santa Eulalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlitos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria FC 36 / 100
Santa Eulalia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria FC Santa Eulalia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Eulalia conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Santa Maria FC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Santa Eulalia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria FC VS Santa Eulalia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Braga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minas de Argozelo-
TBD-
Piense2
Alcains3
Moura AC3
Sobrado2
TBD-
CDC Montalegre-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Moreirense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anadia-
TBD-
TBD-
Pedras Rubras-
Covilha-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Cesarense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
Freamunde-
TBD-
TBD-
Agueda-
Ribeirinha-
TBD-
Merelinense2
FC Felgueiras3
Vitoria Sernache-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Angrense-
Sacavenense-
TBD-
TBD-
Vieira-
Trofense-
TBD-
Nogueirense1
Febres0
Atletico Ouriense3
Soito1
TBD-
Pedras Salgadas-
AD Oliveirense-
TBD-
Correlha0
GS Loures2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BSAD-
Gil Vicente-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portimonense-
TBD-
TBD-
Real SC-
Estoril-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Malveira4
Lusitano VRSA1
SC Mirandela1
Varzim2
Aves-
TBD-
TBD-
Aljustrelense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boavista-
Tondela-
TBD-
TBD-
Electrico FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penafiel-
Chaves-
TBD-
TBD-
Louletano-
Silves FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Cova De Piedade-
Amora-
TBD-
TBD-
U. Madeira-
Mafra1
Amarante FC0
TBD-
Feirense-
Oliveirense-
TBD-
Oliveira Hospital1
Uniao Montemor4
Mosteirense-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Salgueiros-
Coimbroes-
TBD-
TBD-
Cinfaes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rio Ave-
Nacional-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lusitania FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Alcanenense-
Torreense-
TBD-
TBD-
Marinhense-
CD Gouveia-
TBD-
TBD-
Ribeirao-
Santa Eulalia-
TBD-
TBD-
Leixoes-
Santa Clara-
TBD-
TBD-
GD Sourense-
Academica-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caldas SC3
Fazendense2
GD Braganca1
Santa Maria FC2
Oriental-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Farense-
CDR Quarteirense-
TBD-
TBD-
Olhanense-
Arouca-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
Atletico CP-
TBD-
TBD-
Moimenta da Beira-
Sintrense-
TBD-
TBD-
Beira Mar-
Gondomar-
TBD-
TBD-
Vilaverdense FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maritimo-
Famalicao3
Ferreiras0
TBD-
Academico Viseu-
AD Limianos1
Fabril do Barreiro0
TBD-
SC Pombal-
Mortagua FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Camara de Lobos-
Naval-
TBD-
Pinhalnovense0
AD Fafe1
Riachense4
Sao Joao de Ver3
TBD-
SC Praiense-
Sertanense2
FC Pampilhosa0
TBD-
SB Castelo Branco-
Atletico SC5
GD Tourizense3
TBD-
Paivense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Vizela3
Cerveira1
Gafanha0
Sousense2
SC Vila Real2
1º Dezembro1
TBD-
Casa Pia-
Tirsense-
TBD-
TBD-
Leiria-
Lusitano FCV2
Estarreja0
TBD-
Operario-
SC Espinho1
Camacha0
TBD-
Sanjoanense-
SC Vianense2
Viana Alentejo0
TBD-
Serzedo-
FC Porto-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting CP-
1/64-finals
Braga-
TBD-
Minas de Argozelo0
Alcains1
Moura AC2
CDC Montalegre0
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Moreirense-
TBD-
Anadia1
Pedras Rubras2
Covilha3
FC Cesarense1
TBD-
Benfica-
Freamunde2
Agueda1
Ribeirinha0
FC Felgueiras3
Vitoria Sernache1
SC Angrense0
Sacavenense0
Vieira1
Trofense6
Febres0
Atletico Ouriense1
Pedras Salgadas2
AD Oliveirense3
GS Loures2
TBD-
BSAD-
Gil Vicente-
TBD-
Portimonense1
Real SC2
Estoril-
TBD-
Malveira1
Varzim5
Aves3
Aljustrelense0
TBD-
Boavista-
Tondela3
Electrico FC2
TBD-
Penafiel-
Chaves3
Louletano1
Silves FC0
Cova De Piedade1
Amora3
U. Madeira2
Mafra1
Feirense2
Oliveirense2
Uniao Montemor0
Mosteirense0
SC Salgueiros4
Coimbroes2
Cinfaes1
TBD-
Rio Ave-
Nacional-
TBD-
Lusitania FC0
Alcanenense2
Torreense6
Marinhense0
CD Gouveia0
Ribeirao4
Santa Eulalia2
Leixoes1
Santa Clara1
GD Sourense2
Academica-
TBD-
Caldas SC1
Santa Maria FC2
Oriental3
SC Farense2
CDR Quarteirense0
Olhanense2
Arouca-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
Atletico CP4
Moimenta da Beira0
Sintrense2
Beira Mar4
Gondomar2
Vilaverdense FC1
TBD-
Maritimo-
Famalicao2
Academico Viseu1
AD Limianos0
SC Pombal1
Mortagua FC2
Camara de Lobos0
Naval0
AD Fafe2
Riachense3
SC Praiense2
Sertanense0
SB Castelo Branco1
Atletico SC3
Paivense1
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Vizela4
Sousense3
SC Vila Real2
Casa Pia3
Tirsense2
Leiria1
Lusitano FCV1
Operario2
SC Espinho1
Sanjoanense0
SC Vianense0
Serzedo1
FC Porto-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting CP-
1/32-finals
Braga4
Alcains1
Moura AC0
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Moreirense2
Pedras Rubras1
Covilha2
Benfica3
Freamunde3
FC Felgueiras2
Vitoria Sernache1
Vieira2
Trofense3
Pedras Salgadas1
AD Oliveirense2
BSAD3
Gil Vicente2
Real SC1
Estoril1
Varzim2
Aves4
Boavista1
Tondela2
Penafiel3
Chaves7
Cova De Piedade0
Amora1
Feirense5
Oliveirense3
SC Salgueiros1
Coimbroes0
Rio Ave1
Nacional6
Alcanenense1
Torreense0
Ribeirao2
Santa Eulalia1
GD Sourense0
Academica0
Santa Maria FC1
Oriental4
Olhanense2
Arouca0
Vitoria Setubal1
Atletico CP3
Beira Mar0
Gondomar0
Maritimo4
Famalicao2
SC Pombal1
Mortagua FC1
AD Fafe3
Riachense2
SB Castelo Branco1
Atletico SC0
Pacos Ferreira4
Vizela4
Casa Pia1
Tirsense1
Operario3
SC Espinho2
Serzedo1
FC Porto1
Sporting CP3
1/16-finals
Braga2
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Moreirense1
Benfica4
Freamunde1
Vieira0
Trofense0
BSAD5
Gil Vicente2
Varzim1
Aves0
Penafiel1
Chaves2
Feirense0
Oliveirense0
Rio Ave2
Nacional2
Ribeirao0
Santa Eulalia1
Santa Maria FC2
Oriental1
Vitoria Setubal0
Atletico CP0
Maritimo2
Famalicao4
AD Fafe0
Riachense0
Pacos Ferreira9
Vizela3
Operario2
SC Espinho0
Sporting CP5
1/8-finals
Braga2
Benfica1
Freamunde0
BSAD2
Gil Vicente2
Penafiel1
Chaves0
Rio Ave2
Nacional2
Santa Maria FC1
Oriental1
Maritimo2
Famalicao2
Pacos Ferreira1
Vizela2
Sporting CP3
Quarter-finals
Braga7
BSAD1
Gil Vicente2
Rio Ave5
Nacional2
Maritimo1
Famalicao0
Sporting CP4
Semi-finals
Braga4
Rio Ave1
Nacional2
Sporting CP3
Final
Braga2
Sporting CP3