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Santa Maria FC vs Vieira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 game between Santa Maria FC and Vieira finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Maria FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Maria FC
30%
Draws
34%
Vieira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Maria FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Maria FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santa Maria FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 20%
Vieira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria FC Vieira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vieira
5:0
Feb 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vieira vs Santa Maria FC
2:1
Jan 11, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vieira vs Santa Maria FC
1:1
Nov 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vieira
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria FC 36 / 100
Vieira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria FC Vieira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vieira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Santa Maria FC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Vieira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria FC VS Vieira
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Maria FC

(Home)
22 Oct
Penafiel
3 : 0
Santa Maria FC
24 Sept
SC Salgueiros
0 : 1
Santa Maria FC
24 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Santa Maria FC
17 May
Santa Maria FC
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
10 May
Cerveira
2 : 2
Santa Maria FC
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Vieira

(Away)
21 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Vieira
08 Sept
Vieira
2 : 0
Pedras Salgadas
05 Aug
Dumiense
2 : 0
Vieira
09 Sept
Merelinense
3 : 1
Vieira
23 May
Vieira
1 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1482428:1541
2GD Braganca1473419:1837
3SC Vianense1465320:1634
4Pedras Salgadas1454515:1632
5AD Limianos1455422:2027
6Cerveira1434718:2625
7Santa Maria FC1435621:2024
8Vieira1434713:2518
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 (Play Out)