Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Maria FC vs Vilaverdense FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 game between Santa Maria FC and Vilaverdense FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Santa Maria FC
22%
Draws
18%
Vilaverdense FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santa Maria FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense FC haven't matched Santa Maria FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santa Maria FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 20%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria FC Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vilaverdense FC
0:1
Mar 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Santa Maria FC
2:0
Jan 4, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1
Oct 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Santa Maria FC
0:0
Apr 13, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Santa Maria FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria FC 58 / 100
Vilaverdense FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria FC Vilaverdense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Vilaverdense FC conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Vilaverdense FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilaverdense FC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Maria FC

(Home)
22 Oct
Penafiel
3 : 0
Santa Maria FC
24 Sept
SC Salgueiros
0 : 1
Santa Maria FC
24 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Santa Maria FC
17 May
Santa Maria FC
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
10 May
Cerveira
2 : 2
Santa Maria FC
Page 1 of 6

Vilaverdense FC

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1482428:1541
2GD Braganca1473419:1837
3SC Vianense1465320:1634
4Pedras Salgadas1454515:1632
5AD Limianos1455422:2027
6Cerveira1434718:2625
7Santa Maria FC1435621:2024
8Vieira1434713:2518
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 (Play Out)