Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Brasiliense 2023 game between Santa Maria and Paranoa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paranoa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Paranoa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Paranoa a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Paranoa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Maria | Paranoa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 37 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Maria Compare
Paranoa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paranoa has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.
Difficult form: Paranoa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Santa Maria scored in 55% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Maria
(Home)Paranoa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 15 |
| 3 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Paranoa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Gama | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Ceilandia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Samambaia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Santa Maria | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 9 | Taguatinga | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 10 | Brasilia FC (DF) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
