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Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Amarante FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
33%
Draws
40%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Marta Penaguiao haven't matched Amarante FC's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Amarante FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 22%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Penaguiao Amarante FC
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 6 21
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Amarante FC
3:3
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Penaguiao 29 / 100
Amarante FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Penaguiao Amarante FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Amarante FC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Santa Marta Penaguiao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Santa Marta Penaguiao found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Amarante FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276