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Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Berco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 game between Santa Marta Penaguiao and Berco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Marta Penaguiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
28%
Draws
22%
Berco
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santa Marta Penaguiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Santa Marta Penaguiao haven't matched Berco's recent run of results.
  • Santa Marta Penaguiao are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 20%
Berco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Penaguiao Berco
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Berco vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Berco
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Penaguiao 49 / 100
Berco 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Penaguiao Berco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berco let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santa Marta Penaguiao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Berco lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Marta Penaguiao VS Berco
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276