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Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paredes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
39%
Draws
30%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Paredes have won more games recently than Santa Marta Penaguiao.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 19%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Penaguiao Paredes
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Paredes
0:1
Aug 29, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Paredes vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Penaguiao 32 / 100
Paredes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Penaguiao Paredes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Santa Marta Penaguiao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santa Marta Penaguiao found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Paredes has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paredes
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276