Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022

Santa Marta Penaguiao

3 - 1

Vila Mea

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 game between Santa Marta Penaguiao and Vila Mea finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Marta Penaguiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Santa Marta Penaguiao

30%

Draws

34%

Vila Mea

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Marta Penaguiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Vila Mea carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Santa Marta Penaguiao's way, sitting at 36%.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 19%

Vila Mea Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santa Marta Penaguiao	Vila Mea
Matches Played	27	38
Wins	6	12
Draws	6	17
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Vila Mea

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Vila Mea vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Vila Mea

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Penaguiao 36 / 100

Vila Mea 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santa Marta Penaguiao Vila Mea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Mea has conceded goals in 68% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Santa Marta Penaguiao has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santa Marta Penaguiao's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vila Mea

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	18	12	3	3	23:9	39
2	Sao Martinho	18	11	5	2	29:10	38
3	Tirsense	18	9	7	2	17:8	34
4	SC Mirandela	18	10	3	5	21:16	33
5	Amarante FC	18	8	6	4	33:21	30
6	Vila Mea	18	7	3	8	22:20	24
7	SC Vila Real	18	4	5	9	21:36	17
8	Santa Marta Penaguiao	18	4	3	11	15:33	15
9	Berco	18	3	4	11	16:27	13
10	Macedo de Cavaleiros	18	1	3	14	10:27	6