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Santa Marta Tormes vs Almazan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Marta Tormes host Almazan in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This one's hard to separate. Almazan have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Santa Marta Tormes have conceded 1.06 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Santa Marta Tormes have won 1 to Almazan's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.54 - 1.21) back Santa Marta Tormes to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Santa Marta Tormes
35%
Draws
20%
Almazan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Marta Tormes lately — more wins on the board than Almazan.
  • Santa Marta Tormes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 20%
Almazan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Tormes Almazan
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Almazan
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Almazan
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Tormes 58 / 100
Almazan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Tormes Almazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Marta Tormes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Marta Tormes scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Almazan conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santa Marta Tormes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Marta Tormes VS Almazan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Marta Tormes

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2
Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 7

Almazan

(Away)
10 Oct
Leonesa B
5 : 2
Almazan
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
2 Palencia CA 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Leonesa B 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Bembibre 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 Santa Marta Tormes 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
6 La Virgen 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
7 Mansilles 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
8 Arandina 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Almazan 6 1 4 1 10:12 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
12 Villaralbo 6 1 3 2 11:9 6
13 Guijuelo 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
14 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
15 Colegios Diocesanos 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
16 Turegano 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
17 Unionistas de Salamanca B 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
18 Mirandes B 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)