Sport Picks
Santa Marta Tormes vs Becerril
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Villardon H.
60'
60'
Galvan M.
65'
65'
Martin D.
AI Match Summary
Santa Marta Tormes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Marta Tormes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Marta Tormes have won more games recently than Becerril.
- Santa Marta Tormes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 68%
Becerril Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Marta Tormes | Becerril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Becerril
5:0
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Becerril
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Santa Marta Tormes
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Top Goalscorer Villardon H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galvan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71
Becerril Compare
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Marta Tormes 95 / 100
Becerril 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Marta Tormes Becerril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Marta Tormes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Marta Tormes scored in 83% of their last 35 games.
Becerril let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Santa Marta Tormes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santa Marta Tormes VS Becerril
1.25 Goals Scored 1.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Marta Tormes
(Home) 20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1 Vimenor
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1 Vimenor
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
16 May
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Guijuelo
Page 1 of 4
Becerril
(Away) 10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1 Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2 Mansilles
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1 Becerril
03 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 1 Becerril
22 Mar
Palencia CA
1 : 1 Becerril
07 Mar
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 5 Becerril
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
