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Santa Quiteria vs Americano Bacabal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Maranhense 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Maranhense 2017 game between Santa Quiteria and Americano Bacabal finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Quiteria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Santa Quiteria
20%
Draws
64%
Americano Bacabal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Americano Bacabal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Quiteria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Quiteria a 16% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Maranhense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Quiteria Clean Sheet 16%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Quiteria Americano Bacabal
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 5 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2017 Maranhense
Santa Quiteria vs Americano Bacabal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Quiteria 48 / 100
Americano Bacabal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Quiteria Americano Bacabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Quiteria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano Bacabal let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Americano Bacabal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Santa Quiteria scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Quiteria VS Americano Bacabal
0.29 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Quiteria

(Home)
09 Nov
Santa Quiteria
0 : 2
Viana
03 Nov
Timon EC (MA)
0 : 0
Santa Quiteria
30 Oct
ITZ Sport
2 : 1
Santa Quiteria
26 Oct
Viana
1 : 0
Santa Quiteria
17 Oct
Santa Quiteria
0 : 2
Timon EC (MA)
Page 1 of 6

Americano Bacabal

(Away)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Quiteria 4 3 0 1 6:6 9
2 Sampaio Correa 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Imperatriz 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
2 Cordino EC 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
3 Maranhao 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
4 Americano Bacabal 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)