Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Rita vs Atletico Porteno

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Sep 27, 2020
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Rita play Atletico Porteno in the Serie B 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Rita averaged 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Atletico Porteno averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Rita won 1, Atletico Porteno won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Oct 31, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Santa Rita and 1.43 for Atletico Porteno. This points to a Atletico Porteno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Santa Rita
35%
Draws
38%
Atletico Porteno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rita picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Porteno.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rita Atletico Porteno
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 2 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2020 Serie B
Santa Rita vs Atletico Porteno
0:0
Sep 27, 2020 Serie B
Santa Rita vs Atletico Porteno
0:0
Sep 17, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Santa Rita
1:0
Aug 2, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Santa Rita
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Santa Rita
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rita 28 / 100
Atletico Porteno 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rita Atletico Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Porteno or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Rita attacking → ← attacking Atletico Porteno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rita scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Atletico Porteno let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 0.40 goals.

Santa Rita went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Porteno lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416