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Santa Rosa vs Limon Black Star Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rosales J.
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 game between Santa Rosa and Limon Black Star finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Santa Rosa
22%
Draws
72%
Limon Black Star
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Limon Black Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / High Confidence
  • Limon Black Star carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Limon Black Star are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Limon Black Star have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 0%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 22%
Limon Black Star Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rosa Limon Black Star
Matches Played 26 4
Wins 1 3
Draws 12 1
Losses 13 0
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Rosa vs Limon Black Star
0:1
Jan 23, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Santa Rosa
1:0
Oct 29, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Rosa vs Limon Black Star
1:1
Oct 18, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Santa Rosa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Rosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosales J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Limon Black Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rosa 29 / 100
Limon Black Star 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rosa Limon Black Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limon Black Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Rosa scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Limon Black Star has conceded goals in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Solid form: Santa Rosa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Limon Black Star
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rosa

(Home)
28 Mar
Santa Rosa
1 : 2
Guanacasteca
21 Mar
Puntarenas FC
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
13 Mar
Jaco FC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
07 Mar
Santa Rosa
0 : 1
Limon Black Star
27 Feb
Liberia
2 : 1
Santa Rosa
Page 1 of 6

Limon Black Star

(Away)
07 Mar
Santa Rosa
0 : 1
Limon Black Star
23 Jan
Limon Black Star
1 : 0
Santa Rosa
29 Oct
Santa Rosa
1 : 1
Limon Black Star
18 Oct
Limon Black Star
3 : 2
Santa Rosa

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberia 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
2 Guanacasteca 10 3 6 1 12:9 15
3 Puntarenas FC 10 3 5 2 11:11 14
4 Limon Black Star 10 2 6 2 12:13 12
5 Jaco FC 10 2 5 3 11:13 11
6 Santa Rosa 10 1 4 5 11:14 7
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cofutpa 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
2 Cariari Pococi 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
3 San Jose FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Carmelita 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
5 Municipal San Ramon 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
6 Santa Ana 10 2 4 4 10:14 10
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Sarchi 10 6 2 2 13:7 20
2 FC Moravia 10 5 3 2 18:10 18
3 Puerto Golfito FC 10 3 5 2 13:9 14
4 Aserri 10 3 4 3 11:13 13
5 CS Uruguay 10 3 2 5 12:14 11
6 Municipal Turrialba 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams