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Santa Rosa vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Marlon Douglas
60'
Weslley
83' Event
PH Gama

AI Match Summary

Santa Rosa in this Paraense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Rosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Rosa
30%
Draws
34%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Rosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rosa haven't matched Paysandu PA's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santa Rosa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paysandu PA have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 11%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rosa Paysandu PA
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 9 27
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paraense
Santa Rosa vs Paysandu PA
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Paraense
Santa Rosa vs Paysandu PA
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Santa Rosa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Rosa Compare

Top Goalscorer PH Gama
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farias C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon Douglas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rosa 35 / 100
Paysandu PA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rosa Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 43 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Paysandu PA's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santa Rosa found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Paysandu PA
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo852117:417
2Paysandu PA852115:717
3Bragantino PA852111:617
4Castanhal834110:713
5Tuna Luso832312:1211
6Aguia De Maraba83239:1011
7Capitao Poco82519:911
8Santa Rosa83147:910
9Cameta83146:1110
10Sao Francisco82069:166
11Independente81345:126
12Caete81075:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paysandu PA852115:717
2Cameta83146:1110
3Sao Francisco82069:166
4Caete81075:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo852117:417
2Bragantino PA852111:617
3Castanhal834110:713
4Independente81345:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tuna Luso832312:1211
2Aguia De Maraba83239:1011
3Capitao Poco82519:911
4Santa Rosa83147:910