Sport Picks

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Santa Tecla vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Reyes K.
37' Event
Rivas Linares E. A.
53' Event
Cardona E.

AI Match Summary

Aguila in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Santa Tecla
30%
Draws
62%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguila lately — more wins on the board than Santa Tecla.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Aguila taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 19%
Aguila Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Tecla Aguila
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Aguila
2:4
Mar 21, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Aguila
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Primera Division
Aguila vs Santa Tecla
2:2
Aug 13, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:1
Apr 19, 2023 Primera Division
Aguila vs Santa Tecla
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas Linares E. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cardona E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salazar C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Tecla 10 / 100
Aguila 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Tecla Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Santa Tecla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Aguila conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Santa Tecla has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguila
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Tecla

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
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Aguila

(Away)
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
23 Aug
FAS
1 : 0
Aguila
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)