Sport Picks

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Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Angulo L.
85' Event
Sanchez F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Santa Tecla and Fuerte San Francisco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Santa Tecla
22%
Draws
60%
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fuerte San Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Tecla have managed 0 goals a game lately — Fuerte San Francisco are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Fuerte San Francisco taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 19%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Tecla Fuerte San Francisco
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Feb 7, 2024 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Santa Tecla
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Santa Tecla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Tecla 20 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Tecla Fuerte San Francisco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuerte San Francisco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Santa Tecla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Santa Tecla remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fuerte San Francisco
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza FC22136339:1345
2Luis Angel Firpo22133647:3042
3Municipal Limeno22123733:2539
4Aguila22108429:1838
5FAS2288626:2432
6Platense Municipal2295826:2932
7Metapan2294924:2231
811 Deportivo2287722:2431
9Dragon22931027:3330
10Santa Tecla22551226:3920
11Fuerte San Francisco22451319:3017
12Jocoro22231713:449