Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Tecla vs Jocoro

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Quintanilla J.
23' Event
Rivas Linares E. A.
26' Event
Aguila G.

AI Match Summary

Jocoro in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jocoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Santa Tecla
20%
Draws
64%
Jocoro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jocoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Tecla haven't matched Jocoro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 18%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Tecla Jocoro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Jocoro
3:4
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Santa Tecla
0:2
Oct 18, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Santa Tecla
3:1
Sep 27, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Jocoro
1:1
Apr 17, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Jocoro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas Linares E. A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jocoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguila G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quintanilla J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Tecla 32 / 100
Jocoro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Tecla Jocoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jocoro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Santa Tecla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Jocoro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Tecla VS Jocoro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Tecla

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Jocoro

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)